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    國家哲學社會科學成果文庫>>2012年度國家哲學社會科學成果文庫

    《中國人口:結構與規模的博弈》簡介

      2013年10月12日14:21  來源:全國哲學社會科學工作辦公室

    《中國人口:結構與規模的博弈》,莫龍等著,社會科學文獻出版社2013年3月出版。

    本書針對我國人口老齡化越來越嚴重、但定量研究不足的現狀,該作品創新性地提出了AECI指數法,通過測度人口老齡化與經濟發展的協調性,反映人口老齡化的宏觀經濟壓力。該指數法克服了傳統人口統計指標無法準確度量人口老齡化經濟壓力的缺陷,在度量老齡化經濟壓力時,既考慮了老齡化程度,也考慮了經濟發展水平,實現了人口老齡化經濟壓力的可量化和可比較。在提出這一方法的基礎上,該書通過人口模擬,結合這一新方法的運用,考察了不同人口發展戰略、不同人口政策之下未來中國的人口老齡化經濟壓力,并于其他國家進行了比較,定量評估了人口老齡化對中國人口發展戰略的制約和影響,并在此基礎上提出了相應對策。

    (責編:張湘憶)


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